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Indian Market Closing Update on last session

·Markets traded weak ahead of the U.S. Fed rate decision, keeping investors cautious.

·Global cues remained negative, with weakness across major Asian markets.

·FII outflows continued, pressuring large-cap stocks and dampening overall sentiment.

·The rupee weakened against the USD, adding to import-cost and inflation worries.

·Derivatives (F&O) expiry volatility contributed to intraday swings.

·Sensex closed down ~436 pts, signalling broad-based selling in frontline stocks.

·Nifty slipped ~121 pts, dragged by major sectors.

·Mid-cap and Small-cap indices outperformed, reflecting rotational buying into broader markets.

·IT, Auto, Metal, and Pharma led the decline due to weak global and domestic cues.

·Select mid- and small-cap stocks saw accumulation, indicating bottom-up stock picking.

·Global macro uncertainty persists with multiple central bank meetings this week.

·Market direction now hinges on Fed’s tone and guidance, not just the rate move.

Market Overview & Trend (Nifty 50 & Bank Nifty)

NIFTY 50: The chart shows a steady bullish trend with price holding above major moving averages. Momentum has cooled slightly, but the broader structure remains positive. Support is strong at 25,600, where buyers are likely to defend the trend. Key resistance lies at 26,000, and a breakout above this level can trigger a fresh upward move. Overall, the market remains biased to the upside with buy-on-dips sentiment intact.

NIFTY-50 CHART

BANK NIFTY CHART

Sector-wise Trend Outlook

• IT Sector : Trend Outlook The IT sector faces near-term pressure due to global demand uncertainty and currency headwinds but remains fundamentally strong with solid order pipelines and digital transformation trends supporting growth.

• Auto Sector : Trend Outlook: The auto sector is witnessing cautious demand amid inflationary pressures and rising input costs, though easing supply chain issues and new model launches offer some upside potential.

• Banking Sector : Trend Outlook: The banking sector shows resilience supported by improving credit growth and stable asset quality, while rising interest rates could boost margins, keeping the outlook positive.

TOP5 VOLUME SHOKERS IN NIFTY

BASED ON OPEN INTEREST - LONG BUILD UP & SHORT BUILD UP

LONG BUILD UP

SHORT BUILD UP RT BUILD UP 

Small Cap & Midcap Technical Picks

1) TMCV) :- TMCVis showing a clear bullish trend on the daily chart, with price consistently trading above key moving averages. The recent breakout and sustained momentum indicate strong buying interest despite broader market weakness. Support is well established around the 325 level, and as long as the stock holds above this zone, the bullish view remains valid. The upward slope of the short- and medium-term moving averages confirms positive momentum, suggesting potential for further gains from current levels. Overall, the stock looks poised to continue its upward move, making it attractive for bullish traders.

2) RADICO : The chart reflects a strong ongoing uptrend, with the price consistently taking support from the rising trendline, indicating firm buying interest on every dip. Moving averages are aligned positively, further confirming momentum strength. As long as the price holds above the crucial 2900 support zone, the bullish view remains intact. Sustained trading above this level may attract fresh buying, keeping the structure healthy. On the upside, the trend suggests potential movement toward the 3350–3600 zone in the coming sessions, provided support levels continue to hold.

• PM Modi welcomed Microsoft’s historic US$ 17.5 billion investment in India, affirming the nation’s growing global leadership in AI and highlighting opportunities for youth-driven innovation and digital growth.
• India’s SM REITs market could exceed Rs. 6.25 lakh crore (US$ 75 billion), unlocking investment in over 500 million sq. ft. of mid-sized commercial assets and democratizing real estate ownership.
• India and Brunei held their first JWG meeting to advance defence cooperation, focusing on military exchanges, maritime security, technology collaboration, and a structured roadmap for Indo-Pacific stability.
• IIT Madras and the IndiaAI Mission will host a Pre-Summit Event to advance global dialogue on safe, trusted, and inclusive AI ahead of the India AI Impact Summit 2026.
• India and Sweden have jointly launched seven innovative projects to accelerate decarbonisation in steel and cement, marking a major step in advancing India’s long-term net-zero industrial transition.
• Adani Group will invest over US$ 75 billion in the next five years to drive India’s clean-energy transition, including developing the world’s largest renewable energy park and strengthening critical mineral capabilities.

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